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	<title>dw2 &#187; BHAG</title>
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		<title>dw2 &#187; BHAG</title>
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		<title>Prioritising the best peer pressure</title>
		<link>http://dw2blog.com/2011/10/02/prioritising-the-best-peer-pressure/</link>
		<comments>http://dw2blog.com/2011/10/02/prioritising-the-best-peer-pressure/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 02 Oct 2011 09:36:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Wood</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[BHAG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[catalysts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[collaboration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[futurist]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Humanity Plus]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[In a world awash with conflicting influences and numerous potential interesting distractions, how best to keep &#8220;first things first&#8220;? A big part of the answer is to ensure that the influences we are closest to us are influences: Whose goals are aligned with our own Who can give us prompt, helpful feedback when we are [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=dw2blog.com&amp;blog=8949868&amp;post=1907&amp;subd=dw2blog&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In a world awash with conflicting influences and numerous potential interesting distractions, how best to keep &#8220;<a href="http://www.whitedovebooks.co.uk/time-management/first-things-first.htm">first things first</a>&#8220;?</p>
<p>A big part of the answer is to ensure that the influences we are closest to us are influences:</p>
<ul>
<li>Whose goals are aligned with our own</li>
<li>Who can give us prompt, helpful feedback when we are falling short of our own declared intentions</li>
<li>Who can provide us with independent viewpoints that enrich, complement, and challenge our current understanding.</li>
</ul>
<p>In my own case, that&#8217;s the reason why I have been drawn to the community known as &#8220;<a href="http://humanityplus.org/about/">Humanity+</a>&#8220;:</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>Humanity+</strong> is an international nonprofit membership organization which advocates the ethical use of technology to expand human capacities. We support the development of and access to new technologies that enable everyone to enjoy <strong>better minds, better bodies </strong>and <strong>better lives</strong>. In other words, we want people to be <strong>better than well</strong>.</p></blockquote>
<p>I deeply share the goals of Humanity+, and I find some of the world&#8217;s most interesting thinkers within that community.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s also the reason I have sought to aid the flourishing of the Humanity+ community, particularly in the UK, by organising a series of speaker meetings in London.  The speakers at these meetings are generally fascinating, but its the extended networking that follows (offline and online) which provides the greatest value.</p>
<p>My work life has been very busy in the last few months, leaving me less time to organise regular H+UK meetings.  However, to keep myself grounded in a community that contains many people who can teach me a great deal &#8211; <em>a community that can provide powerful positive peer pressure</em> &#8211; I&#8217;ve worked with some H+UK colleagues to pull together an all day meeting that is taking place at the Saturday at the end of this week (8th October).</p>
<p>The theme of this meeting is &#8220;<a href="http://humanityplus.org.uk/2011/08/21/beyond-human-london-sat-8th-oct/">Beyond Human: Rethinking the Technological Extension of the Human Condition</a>&#8220;.  It splits into three parts:</p>
<ul>
<li>Beyond human: The science and engineering</li>
<li>Beyond human: Implications and controversies</li>
<li>Beyond human: Getting involved</li>
</ul>
<p>The event is free to attend.  There’s no need to register in advance. The meeting is taking place in lecture room B34 in the Malet Street building (the main building) of <a href="http://www.bbk.ac.uk/maps">Birkbeck College</a>.  This is located in Torrington Square (which is a pedestrian-only square), London WC1E 7HX.</p>
<p>Full details are on <a href="http://humanityplus.org.uk/2011/08/21/beyond-human-london-sat-8th-oct/">the official event website</a>.  In this blogpost, to give a flavour of what will be covered, I&#8217;ll just list the agenda with the speakers and panellists.</p>
<blockquote>
<div>09.30 &#8211; Finding the room, networking</div>
<div><strong>Opening remarks</strong></div>
<div>09.45 - <a href="http://humanityplus.org.uk/#bh_dww">David Wood – From superphones to superhumans?</a></div>
<div><strong>Beyond human: The science and engineering</strong></div>
<div>10.00 - <a href="http://humanityplus.org.uk/#bh_as">Anders Sandberg – Boosting Brains 2011: how far have we come?</a></div>
<div>10.25 - <a href="http://humanityplus.org.uk/#bh_ak">Ayesha Khanna – Designing Cities of the Future</a></div>
<div>10.50 &#8211; <a href="http://humanityplus.org.uk/#bh_pm">Philip Moriarty – From single atom manipulation to nanofactories: An impossible or an improbable dream?</a></div>
<div>11.15 - <a href="http://humanityplus.org.uk/#bh_kd">Kerstin Dautenhahn – Robots as helpful companions</a></div>
<div>11.40 &#8211; Audience Q&amp;A with the panel consisting of the above four speakers</div>
<div><strong>Lunch break</strong></div>
<div>12.00 &#8211; People make their own arrangements for lunch (there are some suggestions <a href="http://humanityplus.org.uk/#bh_fdr" target="_blank">on the event website</a>)</div>
<div><strong>Beyond human: Implications and controversies</strong></div>
<div>13.00 - <a href="http://humanityplus.org.uk/#bh_sf">Steve Fuller – Humanity 2.0: What it Means to be Human Past, Present and Future</a></div>
<div>13.30 - <a href="http://humanityplus.org.uk/#bh_dp">David Pearce – The Anti-Speciesist Revolution</a></div>
<div>13.55 - <a href="http://humanityplus.org.uk/#bh_lrm">Luke Robert Mason – The post-user net: infomorphology and being human</a></div>
<div>14.15 - <a href="http://humanityplus.org.uk/#bh_sv">Stefano Vaj – How to Make A Singularity Happen</a></div>
<div>14.40 &#8211; Audience Q&amp;A with the panel consisting of the above four speakers</div>
<div><strong>Extended DIY coffee break</strong></div>
<div>15.00 &#8211; Also a chance for extended networking</div>
<div><strong>Beyond human: Getting involved</strong></div>
<div>15.45 - <a href="http://humanityplus.org.uk/#bh_az">Amon Zero – A New Transhumanism</a></div>
<div>16.15 - <a href="http://humanityplus.org.uk/#bh_bd">Brian Degger – Getting to know your inner microbes</a></div>
<div>16.40 - <a href="http://humanityplus.org.uk/#bh_sl">Steve Lowe – The billion year project</a></div>
<div>17.00 - <a href="http://humanityplus.org.uk/#bh_sm">Sarah Marr – SENS Foundation and the Future of Rejuvenation Biotechnology</a></div>
<div>17.25 - Audience Q&amp;A with the panel consisting of the above four speakers</div>
<div><strong>End of conference</strong></div>
<div>17.45 &#8211; Hard stop &#8211; the room needs to be empty by 18.00</div>
</blockquote>
<p>You can follow the links to find out more information about each speaker. You&#8217;ll see that several are eminent university professors. Several have written key articles or books on the theme of technology that significantly enhances human potential. Some complement their technology savvy with an interest in performance art.  All are distinguished and interesting futurists in their own way.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t expect I&#8217;ll agree with everything that&#8217;s said, but I do expect that great personal links will be made &#8211; and strengthened &#8211; during the course of the day.  I also expect that some of the ideas shared at the conference &#8211; some of the <a href="http://www.rapid-business-intelligence-success.com/BHAG.html">big, hairy, audacious goals</a> unveiled &#8211; will take on a major life of their own, travelling around the world, offline and online, catalysing very significant positive change.</p>
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			<media:title type="html">dw2</media:title>
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		<item>
		<title>The 10 10 10 vision</title>
		<link>http://dw2blog.com/2010/10/10/the-10-10-10-vision/</link>
		<comments>http://dw2blog.com/2010/10/10/the-10-10-10-vision/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 10 Oct 2010 10:19:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Wood</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[BHAG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[leadership]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Symbian]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vision]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dw2blog.com/?p=1610</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The phrase &#8220;10 10 10&#8243; first entered my life at a Symbian Leadership Team offsite, held in Tylney Hall in Hampshire, in early January 2007.  We were looking for a memorable new target for Symbian. A few months earlier, in November 2006, cumulative sales of Symbian-powered phones had passed the milestone of 100 million units, [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=dw2blog.com&amp;blog=8949868&amp;post=1610&amp;subd=dw2blog&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://dw2blog.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/101010.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1611" title="101010" src="http://dw2blog.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/101010.png" alt="" width="708" height="216" /></a></p>
<p>The phrase &#8220;10 10 10&#8243; first entered my life at a Symbian Leadership Team offsite, held in <a href="http://www.tylneyhall.co.uk/">Tylney Hall</a> in Hampshire, in early January 2007.  We were looking for a memorable new target for Symbian.</p>
<p>A few months earlier, in November 2006, cumulative sales of Symbian-powered phones had passed the milestone of 100 million units, and quarterly sales were continuing to grow steadily.  It was therefore a reasonable (but still bold) extrapolation for Nigel Clifford, Symbian&#8217;s CEO, to predict:</p>
<blockquote><p>The first 100 million took 8 years [from Symbian's founding, in June 1998],  the next 100 million will take <strong>under 80 weeks</strong></p></blockquote>
<p>That forecast was shared with all Symbian employees later in the month, as we gathered in London&#8217;s <a href="http://www.oldbillingsgate.co.uk/">Old Billingsgate Hall</a> for the annual Kick Off event.  Nigel&#8217;s kick off speech also outlined the broader vision adopted by the Leadership Team at the offsite:</p>
<blockquote><p>By <strong>2010</strong> we want to be shipping <strong>10 million</strong> Symbian devices per month</p>
<p>If we do that we will be in <strong>1 in 10</strong> mobile phones shipping across the planet</p>
<p>So &#8230; <strong>10 10 10</strong></p></blockquote>
<p>Fast forward nearly four years to the 10th of October, 2010 &#8211; to 10/10/10.  As I write these words at around 10 minutes past 10 o&#8217;clock, <em>how did that vision turn out?</em></p>
<p>According to <a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-10839034">Canalys figures reported by the BBC</a>, just over 27 million Symbian-powered devices were sold during Q2 2010:</p>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th colspan="6">
<h2>Worldwide smartphone market</h2>
</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th> OS</th>
<th> Q2 2010 shipments</th>
<th> % share</th>
<th> Q2 2009 shipments</th>
<th> % share</th>
<th> Growth</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Symbian</td>
<td>27,129,340</td>
<td>43.5</td>
<td>19,178,910</td>
<td>50.3</td>
<td>41.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>RIM</td>
<td>11,248,830</td>
<td>18.0</td>
<td>7,975,950</td>
<td>20.9</td>
<td>41</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Android</td>
<td>10,689,290</td>
<td>17.1</td>
<td>1,084,240</td>
<td>2.8</td>
<td>885.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Apple</td>
<td>8,411,910</td>
<td>13.5</td>
<td>5,211,560</td>
<td>13.7</td>
<td>61.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Microsoft</td>
<td>3,083,060</td>
<td>4.9</td>
<td>3,431,380</td>
<td>9.0</td>
<td>-10.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Others</td>
<td>1,851,830</td>
<td>3.0</td>
<td>1,244,620</td>
<td>3.3</td>
<td>48.8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td>62,414,260</td>
<td>100</td>
<td>38,126,660</td>
<td>100</td>
<td>63.3</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>Dividing by three, that makes just over 9 million units per month in Q2, which is marginally short of this part of the target.</p>
<p>But more significantly, Symbian failed by some way to have the mindshare, in 2010, that the 2007 Leadership Team aspired to.  As <a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-10839034">the BBC report goes on to say</a>:</p>
<blockquote>
<p style="text-align:left;">Although Symbian is consistently the most popular smart phone operating  system, it is often overshadowed by Apple&#8217;s iPhone and Google Android  operating system.</p>
</blockquote>
<p style="text-align:left;">I&#8217;m a big fan of audacious goals &#8211; <a href="http://dw2blog.com/2008/08/12/audacious-goals/">sometimes called BHAGs</a>.  The vision that Symbian would become the most widely used <em>and most widely liked</em> software platform on the planet, motivated me and many of my colleagues to prodigious amounts of hard work over many years.</p>
<p style="text-align:left;">In retrospect, were these BHAGs misguided?  <em>It&#8217;s too early to tell, but I don&#8217;t think so.</em> Did we make mistakes along the way?  <em>Absolutely.</em> Should Symbian employees, nevertheless, take great pride in what Symbian has accomplished?  <em>Definitely.</em> Has the final chapter been written on smartphones?  <em>No way!</em></p>
<p style="text-align:left;">But as for myself, my vision has evolved.  I&#8217;m no longer a &#8220;Symbian smartphone enthusiast&#8221;.  Instead, I&#8217;m putting my energies into being a &#8220;<a href="http://dw2blog.com/2010/10/09/on-smartphones-superphones-and-subphones/">smartphone technology enthusiast</a>&#8220;.</p>
<p style="text-align:left;">I don&#8217;t yet have a new BHAG in mind that&#8217;s as snappy as either &#8220;10 10 10&#8243; or &#8220;become the most widely used <em>and most widely liked</em> software platform on the planet&#8221;, but I&#8217;m working on it.</p>
<p style="text-align:left;">The closest I&#8217;ve reached so far is &#8220;<a href="http://dw2blog.com/2010/10/09/on-smartphones-superphones-and-subphones/">smartphone technology everywhere</a>&#8220;, but that needs a lot of tightening.</p>
<p style="text-align:left;"><strong>Footnote</strong>: As far as I can remember, the grainy photo below is another remnant of the Symbian Leadership Team Jan 2007 Tylney Hall offsite.  (The helmets and harnesses were part of a death-defying highwire team-building exercise.  We all lived to tell the tale.)</p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><a href="http://dw2blog.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/slt-jan-2007.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1621" title="SLT Jan 2007" src="http://dw2blog.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/slt-jan-2007.png" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align:left;"><em>(From left to right: Standing: Andy Brannan, Charles Davies, Nigel Clifford, David Wood, Kent Eriksson, Kathryn Hodnett, Thomas Chambers, Jorgen Behrens; Squatting: Richard Lowther, Stephen Williams.)</em></p>
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			<media:title type="html">101010</media:title>
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		<title>Audacious goals</title>
		<link>http://dw2blog.com/2008/08/12/audacious-goals/</link>
		<comments>http://dw2blog.com/2008/08/12/audacious-goals/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Aug 2008 20:02:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Wood</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[BHAG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Psion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Symbian Foundation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vision]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dw2blog.com/2008/08/12/audacious-goals/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Martin Sauter asks: Which BHAGs are held by companies in the wireless space? BHAG (Big Hairy Audacious Goal) is a memorable term introduced by Jim Collins and Jerry Poras in their watershed book, “Built to last: successful habits of visionary companies”. This book was widely read (and debated) within Psion in the mid 1990s. I [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=dw2blog.com&amp;blog=8949868&amp;post=37&amp;subd=dw2blog&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://dw2blog.files.wordpress.com/2008/08/builttolast.jpg"><img class="alignright" style="border:0 none;" src="http://dw2blog.files.wordpress.com/2008/08/builttolast.jpg?w=198&#038;h=298" border="0" alt="" width="198" height="298" /></a><a href="http://mobilesociety.typepad.com/mobile_life/2008/08/do-you-have-a-wireless-bhag.html">Martin Sauter asks</a>: <em>Which BHAGs are held by companies in the wireless space? </em></p>
<p><a href="http://www.wordspy.com/words/BHAG.asp">BHAG</a> (Big Hairy Audacious Goal) is a memorable term introduced by Jim Collins and Jerry Poras in their watershed book, “<a href="http://www.amazon.com/Built-Last-Successful-Visionary-Companies/dp/0060566108/">Built to last: successful habits of visionary companies</a>”. This book was widely read (and debated) within Psion in the mid 1990s. I vividly remember Psion Chairman and CEO David Potter giving an internal talk on themes from that book relevant to Psion. That talk had a lasting effect.</p>
<p>As Martin mentions, Symbian has been driven for many years by the audacious idea that, one day, <a href="http://dw2blog.com/2008/06/symbian-2-0.html">Symbian OS will be the most widely used software platform on the planet</a>. But that’s only one of several BHAGs in my mind.</p>
<p>Personally I prefer to say that <strong>Symbian’s goal is to be the most widely used <em>and most widely liked</em> software platform on the planet</strong>. That’s because I see the latter element as being a key contributor towards the former element. My vision is that people of all dispositions and from all social groups the world over <em>will have good reason to want to use</em> devices running this software – <em>and will be able to afford them.</em></p>
<p>Here’s another BHAG. Looking towards the activities of the Symbian Foundation (assuming that the regulatory authorities approve the deal that creates this foundation), I envision a time when <strong>the ten or so principal package owners for the Symbian Platform will be among the most widely admired and respected software engineers on the planet</strong>. Books and articles will frequently write about each of these principal package owners and their finely honed skills in software architecture, software quality, software usability, and large-scale software integration. These articles will celebrate the different backgrounds and different sponsor-companies of these principal package owners (and will no doubt also delve into the multi-faceted inter-personal relationships among this group of world-striding individuals). These individuals will be the pin-up superstars who inspire new generations of emerging world-class software engineers.</p>
<p>I have other large-scale aspirations concerning the future of the Symbian Foundation, but it’s not appropriate to talk about these for the moment. However, what I am happy to share is some audacious ideas for the evolution of the products that I expect to be created, based on Symbian OS, in the 15-25 years ahead:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>The human-computer interaction will sooner or later evolve to become a far more efficient brain-computer interaction</strong>. Instead of device owners needing to type in requests and then view the results on a physical screen, it will be possible for them to <em>think</em> requests and then (in effect) <em>intuit</em> the results via inner mental vision. (Just as we all had to learn to type, we’ll have to learn to think anew, to use these improved interfaces, if you see what I mean.) So the rich information world of the internet and beyond will become available for direct mental introspection;</li>
<li>The smartphone devices of the future will be more than information stores and communications pathways; they will have powerful intelligence of their own. Take the ideas of a spell-checker and grammar-checker and magnify them to consider an idea-checker and an internal coach. So <strong>the smartphone will become, for those who wish it, like a trusted best friend</strong>;</li>
<li>Adding these two ideas together, I foresee a time when <strong>human IQ and EQ are both radically boosted by the support of powerful mobile always-connected electronic brains and their nano-connections into our biological brains</strong>. To be clear, such devices ought to make us wiser as well as smarter, and kinder as well as stronger. For a glimpse of what this might mean, I suggest you take the time to find out what happens to one of the key characters in Kevin Bohacz’s awkwardly titled but engrossing and audacious (<em>I think that’s the right word in this context</em>) novel “<a href="http://www.amazon.com/Immortality-Kevin-Bohacz/dp/097918150X/">Immortality</a>”.</li>
</ul>
<p>There’s more. In addition to far-reaching ideas about the <em>products</em> that the operation of the Symbian Foundation will eventually enable, it’s also worth considering some far-reaching ideas about the <em>problem-solving capabilities</em> of the robust yet transparent open collaborative methods expected to be deployed by the Symbian Foundation (methods that build on best practice established in the first ten years of Symbian’s history). In other words, <strong>the potential benefits of richly skilled open collaboration go far beyond the question of how to create world-beating smartphones</strong>. As highlighted in the tour-de-force “<a href="http://www.amazon.com/Upside-Down-Catastrophe-Creativity-Civilization/dp/1597260657/">The upside of down</a>” by the deeply thoughtful Canadian researcher Thomas Homer Dixon, the profound structural issues facing the future of our society (including climate change, energy shortage, weapons proliferation, market instability, fundamentalist abdication of rationality, and changing population demographics) are so inter-twined and so pervasive that they will require a new level of worldwide collaboration to solve them. Towards the end of his book, Homer-Dixon points to the transformative potential of open-source software mechanisms for inspiration for how this new level of collaboration can be achieved. It’s an intriguing analysis. Can open source save the world? Watch this space.</p>
<p><strong>Footnote</strong>: Having the right BHAG is an important first step towards a company making a dent in the universe. But it’s only one of many steps. Although “Built to last” is a fine book, I actually prefer Jim Collin’s later work, “<a href="http://www.amazon.com/Good-Great-Companies-Leap-Others/dp/0066620996/">From good to great: why some companies make the leap &#8230; and others don&#8217;t</a>”. In effect, “From good to great” is full of acutely insightful ideas on how companies can make progress towards their BHAGs.</p>
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